In early trade on Monday, the rupee fell 36 paise to an all-time low of 78.29 versus the US dollar, reflecting the strength of the US currency outside as investors rushed to the safe-haven currency amid an overall risk-averse mood Investor morale was pulled down by weak Asian currencies, a trend in local stocks, and continued foreign capital outflows, according to forex dealers The rupee began at 78.20 versus the US dollar on before losing momentum to quote at 78.29, a new low, down 36 paise from the previous closing The rupee fell 19 paise to a new lifetime low of 77.93 versus the US dollar on Friday.
Weak global sentiments, as well as weak Asian and European currencies, have caused the rupee to start below 78, despite the RBI’s efforts to keep it below 77.70.
We’ll have to keep an eye on the RBI in the coming days to see how it acts Head of Treasury, Anil Kumar Bhansali, stated Brent crude futures declined 1.46 percent to USD 120.23 a barrel, the global benchmark In the meantime, the dollar index, which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was up 0.30 percent at 104.45.
The rupee fell to a new all-time low against the US dollar on Wednesday, ending at 77.74, slightly lower than its previous close of Despite continued foreign capital outflows and higher global crude oil prices, the local currency traded in a limited range The previous low was set on May 19, when it closed at 77.73 against the dollar, but it had hit 77.80 levels during intraday trade on May 17 USD-INR volatility may continue to be minimal. Anindya Banerjee, the vice-president, of currency options & interest rate derivatives, Kotak Securities, stated, “A range of 77.40 to 78.00 remains in play in the short term.
Bond prices climbed following the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy committraiseding the policy repo rate by 50 basis points bps in line with market expectations.
and keeping the status quo on banks cash reserve requirements. The three-year government bond rate fell 9 basis points, while the five-year bond yield fell 7 basis points. The four-year paper’s yield fell 8 basis points According to statistics from the the yield on 10-year government bonds (6.54 percent 2032) was 7.51 percent at the start and 7.49 percent at the close Given the high level of inflation, the market has priced in the magnitude of the repo rate rise. Bond rates are projected to fluctuate in a range for the time being, according to dealers and experts The RBI governor has previously stated that a rate hike was a ‘no brainer,’ according to Madan Sabnavis, chief economist of Bank of Baroda. “As a result, the 10-year yield was largely constant between 7.47 and 7.5 percent under the present regime.” In the short run, the yield on 10-year paper is projected to remain range-bound,” he added. As the RBI works toward a more controlled drawdown of liquidity, the yield might rise to 7.75-8%, he noted.
The dollar extended its overnight run into Asian trading hours on Tuesday, reaching new two-decade highs against the yen as concerns over continuing inflation drove up US bond rates The dollar gained ground against the euro, pound, and Swiss franc. It also rose against the Australian dollar, with the market divided on whether the country’s central bank will raise Australia’s key interest rate by a quarter-point later in the day or opt for something bigger The Australian dollar fell 0.15 percent to $0.7183, continuing its decline from a six-week high of $0.72825 reached last Frida.
The dollar rose to 132.305 yen on Tuesday, a level not seen since April 2002, boosted by a surge in the 10-year Treasury yield above 3.05 percent for the first time in almost four weeks. The currency pair was last trading at 132.12, up 0.17 percent.
In contrast, the curve management strategy has kept corresponding Japanese rates close to zero, with central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda maintaining an unflinching commitment to “strong” monetary stimulus on Monday The Commonwealth Bank of Australia attributes the yen’s weakness to not just yield differentials but also Japan’s reliance on energy imports, though it does not predict much further weakening Strong US job statistics at the end of last week fueled speculations that price pressures will persist for a longer period, perhaps prompting the Federal Reserve to take more aggressive action Consumer pricing data on Friday will give more insight into the Fed’s rate-hiking strategy ahead of next week’s policy meeting when a half-point hike is generally predicted. The dollar index, which compares the currency to six major peers, rose 0.04 percent to 102.51, extending Monday’s 0.26 percent raise The euro fell 0.9% to $1.0686 ahead of the European Central Bank‘s rate-setting meeting on Thursday, with traders demanding more clarity on what comes next, having already priced in many rises and the end of bond-buying stimulus Sterling fell 0.04 percent to $1.2523. It gained 0.29 percent in the previous session as Prime Minister Boris Johnson survived a no-confidence vote but was left vulnerable. The US dollar increased by 0.11 percent to 0.97125 Swiss francs
On Thursday, the price of 10 grammes of 24-carat gold increased by Rs 160 to Rs 52,250, while the price of one of silver increased by Rs 400 to Rs 62,000. The price of 10 grammes of 22-carat gold has increased by Rs 150, and the precious metal is now selling for Rs 47,900 The price of 10 grammes of 24-carat gold in Delhi and Mumbai is the same as it is in Bangalore, Hyderabad, and Kolkata, with the precious metal retailing for Rs 52,250 in these cities In Delhi and Mumbai, the price of 10 grammes of 22-carat gold is comparable to the price of 10 grammes of 22-carat gold in Bangalore, Hyderabad, and Kolkata, with the metal selling for Rs 47,900 in these cities. However, 10 kilos of 24-carat gold costs Rs 52,770 in Chennai and 10 grammes of 22-carat gold costs Rs 48,370 in the city.
In Delhi, Mumbai, and Kolkata, one kilogramme of silver costs Rs 62,000, while the metal costs Rs 66,500 in Chennai, Bengaluru, and Hyderabad.
According to Bank of Baroda, corporate India’s offshore fundraising through external commercial borrowings (ECBs) may reduce in the coming months as monetary policy tightens and the rupee continues to depreciate ECBs have become a significant source of funding for businesses, including public sector entities. In reality, as of the end of December 2021, ECBs amounted for 36.8% of India’s external debt. According to RBI data, ECB approvals increased to $38.2 billion in FY22 from $34.8 billion the previous year.
The relative cost advantage resulting from lower global interest rates for an extended period of time drove this increase in the use of the ECB route. It also supported growth by supplementing the country’s credit demand.
With expected to rise, the relative appeal of ECB inflows may wane. In addition, the Indian currency’s recent devaluation will weigh on ECB inflows this year In a research note, BOB stated that on-lending/sub-lending is the most common reason for businesses to borrow cash from abroad. In FY22, its market share was 21.5 percent The firms also used monies raised through ECBs to fund previous ECBs. In FY22, this group had a share of 18.4 percent Rupee loan refinancing through new ECB approvals has climbed from from 6.5 percent in FY17 to 13.2 percent in FY22. According to BOB, ECBs are increasingly being used for new projects as well as modernization of existing ones.
The capital market, banks, and foreign collaborators were the most common sources of ECB funding, according to data from the previous four year Lower global interest rates have prompted companies to look for funding in capital markets all over the world. Despite a substantial drop in global interest rates, the share of overseas capital markets in overall ECB approvals has risen sharply from 12.6 percent in FY19 to 33.2 percent in Other commercial banks’ market share has dropped from 44.4 percent in FY19 to 25.3 percent in FY22. Approvals from Indian commercial bank branches abroad, on the other hand, climbed from 14.7 percent to 19.8% in FY22.
The US dollar’s rally came to a halt as the DXY index dropped to 103.5 before the release of April’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers, while Treasury yields fell as investors switched away from a turbulent stock market amid fears about global growth and a potential inflation peak The Japanese yen (JPY) and Swiss franc (CHF), the top laggards in the previous quarter, gained ground against the USD as the US 10-year yield fell below 3% in European morning trading. Investors want to know if the US has achieved its inflation high, which might trigger the dollar and other significant currencies to react aggressively. The US CPI is expected to drop to 8.1 percent in April from a 41-year high of 8.5 percent in March, marking the first drop in annual inflation in seven months.
However, rising energy costs on the one hand, and pressure on services pricing as a result of a reasonably strong US employment market on the other, might potentially lead to positive April inflation surprises Meanwhile, risk appetite is increasing today, with the Australian currency (AUD) and the New Zealand dollar (NZD) among the best performers, after Shanghai reported a 51% drop in new daily Covid-19 infections, while Beijing reported fewer instances as well After the head of the Bundesbank suggested that a rate hike could come in July and that waiting to change monetary policy is a risky strategy, the euro The Norwegian krone (NOK) increased by over 1% on the day, while the Canadian dollar (CAD) increased by 0.4 percentThe high-beta Swedish krona (SEK) was also one of the best performers today, rising roughly 1% against the dollar.
According to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data released on Friday, India’s forex reserves fell by USD 1.774 billion to USD 595.954 billion for the week ended May 6 due to a drop in core currency assets Overall reserves fell by USD 2.695 billion to USD 597.728 billion in the preceding reporting week, dropping below the USD 600 billion level RBI is apparently intervening across all markets to defend the rupee, which is under pressure due to large outflows by foreign investors. In the six months leading up to March 2022, foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 28.05 billion.
According to RBI’s weekly data, the loss in reserves was due to a drop in Foreign Currency Assets (FCA), a major component of overall reserves, and gold reserves during the reporting week.
In the week ending May 6, FCA fell by USD 1.968 billion to USD 530.855 billion The effect of appreciation or depreciation of non-US units held in foreign exchange reserves, such as the euro, pound, and yen, is included in the foreign currency assets when expressed in dollar terms The data showed that gold reserves climbed by USD 135 million to USD 41.739 billion in the reporting week. The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) increased by USD 70 million to USD 18.370 billion According to the data, the country’s reserve position with the IMF fell by USD 11 million to USD 4.99 billion in the reporting week.
On the back of a positive business outlook, Gokdaldas Exports’ stock hit an all-time high of Rs 505.65 on the BSE in intra-day trade on Wednesday The company’s stock, which is in the textiles and apparel business, has surpassed its previous high of Rs 488, which it reached on May 5, 2022. It has outpaced the market by 30 percent in the last month, compared to a 4 percent fall in the Gokaldas Exports achieved the greatest quarterly performance for the January-March quarter (Q4FY22), thanks to a growing order book and the ability to weather supply chain hiccups.
In Q4FY22, the company’s consolidated profit after tax (PAT) more than doubled to Rs 61 crore, up from Rs 16 crore the previous quarter.
Due to strong operating leverage, its consolidated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (Ebitda) margin increased 170 basis points quarter over quarter and 365 basis points year over year to Revenue increased by 58% year on year (YoY) to Rs 588 crore, the largest quarterly revenue ever, compared to Rs 373 crore in Q4FY21. Export revenue grew by 58.3 percent year over year. According to the corporation, robust revenue growth was supported by deep interaction with key customers and capacity expansion Strong capacity expansion and a speedy ramp-up of production were the key drivers of growth. A higher operating profit was driven by increased volume, a better product mix, and enhanced operational efficiency. The company’s capacity to withstand production and supply chain disruptions is reflected in the year’s results, according to the company.
For the entire fiscal year 2021-22 (FY22), consolidated profit after tax (PAT) increased by 342% year on year to Rs 117 crore, while operating revenue increased by 47.9% to Rs 1,790 crore. Ebitda’s margin increased 270 basis points to 12.0% from On the forecast, management stated that the order book for FY23 remains hopeful. Despite the predicted uncertainties from a combination of headwinds and tailwinds, the company sees growth potential in Continued global sourcing shift away from China, supplier consolidation towards efficient and well-capitalized players, supply-side instabilities in countries such as China, Vietnam, and Sri Lanka, strengthening Dollar, the announcement of Production Linked Incentive (PLI), and signing of free trade agreements (FTAs) with key markets are some of the opportunities.
Individual stocks like as Vedanta and Hindalco Industries both rose 7% to Rs 307.70 and Rs 419.70, respectively. Apart from that, Hindustan Copper, National Aluminium Company, JSW Steel, and Tata Steel also had gains of The Nifty Metal index was the highest gainer among sectoral indexes at 10:36 a.m., gaining 4.4 percent versus 1.3 percent for the Nifty50 index Despite today’s rally, most metal equities have had a 30% correction in the last month. Vedanta, Steel Authority of India (SAIL), Hindalco, JSW Steel, Hindustan Zinc, NMDC, Tata Steel, and Jindal Steel, on the other hand, were down between 13% and 30%. Meanwhile, the Nifty Metal index has dropped 15% in the last month, compared to an 8% drop in the Nifty50 index.
Shanghai laid out plans on Monday for the return to normalcy on June 1 and declared the six-week-long COVID lockdown complete In April, China’s economic activity slowed drastically as lockdowns wreaked havoc on industrial production and employment, fueling predictions that the economy could contract in the second quarter Industrial metals prices surged on Monday as a result of China’s announcement that COVID restrictions would be eased.
The rupee struck a new all-time low versus the dollar in early trade on Tuesday, trading at 77.78/$, as the dollar strengthened against other foreign currencies, prompting investors to seek safe haven assets This is the second trading session in a row that the Indian currency has dropped to new lows. The rupee.
touched an intraday low of 77.63/$ on Friday, the preceding trading day The Reserve Bank of India increased its currency market intervention, slowing the rate of decline. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Indian currency, which has devalued by roughly 4% in 2022, came under pressure. Since the battle began in late February of this year, the foreign reserves have dropped by roughly $35 billion.
